Elections over. Its safe to talk issues.
Yes, its safe to talk about issues that matter again. So I have some predictions for you. Note how none of the issues in my predictions came up during the campaign
1. Harper stays as nice as pie until the Provincial Election is over. Less provincial liberals in power after the fall election means even that much more difficult for federal cousinsto rebuild and I think Conservatives love the sharp contrasts between them and the NDP that get blurred by the liberals. Everyone always talked about a Liberal machine in Windsor west and Windsor Tecumseh, I never saw that. I saw both a Dwight and a Sandra Machine. I imagine that may be the case in other ridings as well
2. Conservatives will invoke Section 33 of the charter of rights and freedoms “notwithstanding clause to repeal the Singh decision. I think they’re gonna wanna do this as quickly as possible, notwithstanding waiting for next refugee murderer to use as provocation. Get it done early so that the outcry has 4 years to behind it
3. Crazy budget cuts in next 4 years (after ontario election) complete with circus show by NDP comprised mostly of Rookie MP’s (and no, I’m not forgetting any nuttie rookie Conservative MP’s either). This should make for some fascinating Television. Dont turn that dial, same batty time, same batty channel.
4. Year 2013, Abolition of the Senate, Dippers want it, Conservatives want it. I checked and currently the Senate is roughly 60 appointed by liberals and 46 appointed by conservatives. The years up to 2013 bring eight more to mandatory retirement, maybe a few deceased (not to sound crass). Harper stacks deck and “POOF, VOILA” no more Canadian Senate.
5. Five years from Now, Every leader will be replaced, if not more than once. That ones kinda obvious
6. I really think the DRIC Bridge is up in the air unless Senate acts quickly. It also depends on how reasonable Mr. Maroun will be on his sales price as we know you can’t force someone to be reasonable. Will Maroun’s son fight selling it as much as his father over time? Will U.S. Senate lollygagging give Harper opportunity to spend 3 billion on purchasing and bldg Ambassador’s crossing vs. spending 5-6 billion on DRIC Bridge. Throw in another billion and he can expropriate more of Huron Church and continue DRIC highway right up to it.
I think it can go either way, punish Windsor for electing NDP, or build DRIC BRidge rewarding Windsor showing them what conservatives could do for them.
All this because Liberals had to stop a budget that looked like something Paul Martin would have passed himself.
Post Feedback
They didn’t get to the budget. The Government was brought down for being in contempt. And the people rewarded them for it. Welcome to politics.
Where’s the darned “like” button? Hey Mark - don’t we have a “Like” button around here somewhere?!?
Yeah, Mia culpa.
Still wasn’t a bad budget other than the planes
I thought the contempt charge wouldnt stick since most Canadians are contemptuous of all Canadian politicians and just looked at it that way.
Awesome election analysis
I do really wish there was more science in political science.
This is what I have gleaned from the early analysis by Bob Lopinski
1. Voters are moving left, unless they are moving right.
2. Incumbency is bad, unless you were re-elected.
3. Voters want change AND even more of the same.
4. On-the-ground organization and sophisticated micro-targeting work, unless you are a bar-maid canvassing in Las Vegas.
5. The separatists are preparing to ramp up their campaigns, and as a first step have left the Canadian House of Commons.”
Bob’s point – which political pros like him often make, pre-, post-, and during elections – is that there is no single meaning you can apply to the outcome. Sometimes, it’s just a bunch of things happening, some good for your team, some bad.